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NumXL

NumXL 1.0 3D BoxNumXL is an Excel Add-in that provides users an intuitive and powerful solution for time series analysis and forecasting.

NumXL wraps common mundane calculations such as auto-correlation, log-likelihood, model fitting/calibration, residuals diagnosis, forecasting and much more, and into a simple extension of Excel.  You can use NumXL functions via Excel menus,  entering them directly into your workbook cells, or by using the Excel function wizard.  Once a spreadsheet is created with NumXL functions for a data set, running the same analysis for different data (or the same but with new observations) is as simple as copying & pasting.

As a result, Excel does the work for you, so you can focus your efforts on the devising the proper model, back-testing, examining different scenarios.  NumXL's functionality also allows you to present your conclusions/recommendations in a tractable report.

All NumXL functions have been intensively tested against other software to guarantee users full reliable results.

Descriptive Statistics

  • Population mean, variance, skew, and excess kurtosis tests.
  • Normality test
  • White-noise test
  • ARCH Effect test

Time Series Operators

  • LAG and Difference operators.
  • Weighted-moving average (WMA)
  • Exponential weighted-moving average (EWMA)
  • Correlation function - correlation and exponential-weighted correlation functions
  • Autocorrelation and partial-autocorrelation functions

Model's Fitting Functions

  • Log-likelihood function (LLF)
  • Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)

Models supported

  • Autoregressive moving average (ARMA/ARIMA and ARMAX)
  • Generalized Linear Model (GLM)
  • Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedacity Models (ARCH/GARCH)
  • Exponential GARCH
  • GARCH in the mean (GARCH-M)

randomness